Draft HistoryUpdated Apr 6, 4:32 AM·2 seasons analyzed

Who drafted best?

Real draft picks, real production. See which managers extracted the most value, who reached, and how draft tendencies shape your league.

View League Records & Superlatives

Season lens

League memory

All-memory mode keeps the blended league story visible. Use the season chips to inspect a single draft class without losing the broader league trend.

League memory 2025 2024

Draft size

204

Picks tracked in 2025

Best realized value

Justin Fields

15.85 PPR/G after a -80 market rank delta

Largest discount

Kaleb Johnson

Most below-market draft slot in 2025

Top realized roster

Team Guido

3,903 total realized PPR

Current model season

2025

Latest analyzed season

Prediction hit rate i

40.4%

165 correct next-pick calls from the current-season replay

BPA gap i

-32,000

Actual vs BPA total value

Draft shape

WR pushed the early draft shape, while YaBoyApeezy extracted the most total value. herggie68 left the most value on the table versus strict BPA.

Full narrative below

League narrative

The analyst-generated take that ties the whole draft together.

WR pushed the early draft shape, while YaBoyApeezy extracted the most total value. herggie68 left the most value on the table versus strict BPA.

WR was the most common early position call.

YaBoyApeezy led the current-season value table.

Best and worst swings

The biggest steals and reaches from the draft review.

Best realized value

Justin Fields

#1 Browns Fan in round 6 with 15.85 PPR/G and ADP delta -80

Largest draft discount

Kaleb Johnson

Tittsburgh Feelers in round 7 with ADP delta -117

Largest draft reach

Joe Burrow

-- in round 17 with ADP delta 196

How Each Draft Class Differed

A cleaner way to compare how each draft class behaved without forcing you to infer it from the blended league-memory view.

2025

Justin Fields was the best realized value

204 picks

11.26 avg PPR/G

Best value

Justin Fields

Biggest discount

Kaleb Johnson

Biggest reach

Joe Burrow

Top roster

Team Guido

33 picks · avg ADP delta 35.88 · avg PPR/G 15.43

60 picks · avg ADP delta -6.45 · avg PPR/G 11.22

76 picks · avg ADP delta 1.54 · avg PPR/G 10.76

25 picks · avg ADP delta 10.60 · avg PPR/G 11.37

DEF

10 picks · avg ADP delta 11.00 · avg PPR/G 1.23

2024

Tyreek Hill was the best realized value

204 picks

10.60 avg PPR/G

Best value

Tyreek Hill

Biggest discount

4039

Biggest reach

11576

Top roster

Stroud 9

32 picks · avg ADP delta 33.03 · avg PPR/G 15.18

61 picks · avg ADP delta 1.59 · avg PPR/G 10.49

76 picks · avg ADP delta -9.51 · avg PPR/G 10.75

24 picks · avg ADP delta -3.29 · avg PPR/G 9.14

DEF

11 picks · avg ADP delta 11.00 · avg PPR/G 0.06

Position Value Report

Which positions were overreached, which were efficient, and which drove the draft shape.

Count 33

228.70

Avg market rank delta

+35.88

Reach rate

75.8%

Accuracy

24.2%

Avg PPR

228.70

Count 60

177.39

Avg market rank delta

-7.30

Reach rate

38.3%

Accuracy

61.7%

Avg PPR

177.39

Count 76

157.93

Avg market rank delta

+1.75

Reach rate

31.6%

Accuracy

68.4%

Avg PPR

157.93

Count 25

171.31

Avg market rank delta

+11.52

Reach rate

48.0%

Accuracy

52.0%

Avg PPR

171.31

DEF

Count 10

20.86

Avg market rank delta

+55.00

Reach rate

20.0%

Accuracy

80.0%

Avg PPR

20.86

Pos	Count	Avg market rank delta	Reach rate	Accuracy	Avg PPR
QB	33	+35.88	75.8%	24.2%	228.70
RB	60	-7.30	38.3%	61.7%	177.39
WR	76	+1.75	31.6%	68.4%	157.93
TE	25	+11.52	48.0%	52.0%	171.31
DEF	10	+55.00	20.0%	80.0%	20.86

Manager profiles

Value efficiency, style label, and QB appetite at a glance.

herggie68

Team Guido

39.65

Aggressive

Market Pusher

R1 first QB · 3 QB total · QBE 0.82

Drives the draft instead of following it. Frequently pays up to force preferred constructions and player takes.

Bobkryger

Garage Doors

35.41

Patient

BPA Purist

R5 first QB · 3 QB total · QBE 0.28

Usually lets value and ADP discipline steer the room rather than chasing immediate roster need.

dshant44

28.26

Early pressure

WR Avalanche

R1 first QB · 2 QB total · QBE 0.78

Leans hard into receiver volume and keeps the build tilted toward flex pressure instead of pure positional balance.

KrunkOnDubZ

Big Doinks Only

28.02

Aggressive

Market Pusher

R3 first QB · 3 QB total · QBE 0.86

Drives the draft instead of following it. Frequently pays up to force preferred constructions and player takes.

mrbrunelle

Big Baller Boiz

27.00

Early pressure

RB Spine Builder

R2 first QB · 2 QB total · QBE 0.77

Builds the roster around running-back depth first, then lets the rest of the board wrap around that spine.

YaBoyApeezy

Tittsburgh Feelers

26.64

Late-round

Balanced Builder

R5 first QB · 3 QB total · QBE 0.21

Balanced build that mixes structure, value, and opportunistic reaches.

KobeKilani

25.69

Late-round

Market Pusher

R7 first QB · 2 QB total · QBE 0.17

Drives the draft instead of following it. Frequently pays up to force preferred constructions and player takes.

Kentwa702

🤘🏼 Barkley at the Moon🤘🏼

22.73

Aggressive

Superflex QB Priority

R3 first QB · 3 QB total · QBE 0.82

Clearly treats quarterback as a premium lever, but still inside a more standard superflex construction.

Manager	Team	Efficiency	QB appetite	Style	What that means
herggie68	Team Guido	39.65	Aggressive R1 first QB · 3 QB total · QBE 0.82	Market Pusher	Drives the draft instead of following it. Frequently pays up to force preferred constructions and player takes.
Bobkryger	Garage Doors	35.41	Patient R5 first QB · 3 QB total · QBE 0.28	BPA Purist	Usually lets value and ADP discipline steer the room rather than chasing immediate roster need.
dshant44	--	28.26	Early pressure R1 first QB · 2 QB total · QBE 0.78	WR Avalanche	Leans hard into receiver volume and keeps the build tilted toward flex pressure instead of pure positional balance.
KrunkOnDubZ	Big Doinks Only	28.02	Aggressive R3 first QB · 3 QB total · QBE 0.86	Market Pusher	Drives the draft instead of following it. Frequently pays up to force preferred constructions and player takes.
mrbrunelle	Big Baller Boiz	27.00	Early pressure R2 first QB · 2 QB total · QBE 0.77	RB Spine Builder	Builds the roster around running-back depth first, then lets the rest of the board wrap around that spine.
YaBoyApeezy	Tittsburgh Feelers	26.64	Late-round R5 first QB · 3 QB total · QBE 0.21	Balanced Builder	Balanced build that mixes structure, value, and opportunistic reaches.
KobeKilani	--	25.69	Late-round R7 first QB · 2 QB total · QBE 0.17	Market Pusher	Drives the draft instead of following it. Frequently pays up to force preferred constructions and player takes.
Kentwa702	🤘🏼 Barkley at the Moon🤘🏼	22.73	Aggressive R3 first QB · 3 QB total · QBE 0.82	Superflex QB Priority	Clearly treats quarterback as a premium lever, but still inside a more standard superflex construction.

What if BPA?

Actual draft value compared with a strict best-player-available pass.

Actual total

399,338

BPA total

431,338

Gap

-32,000

Team Guido

herggie68

+5,562

Actual

39,568

BPA

34,006

dshant44

+4,002

Actual

34,729

BPA

30,727

Garage Doors

Bobkryger

+3,809

Actual

33,564

BPA

29,755

Big Baller Boiz

mrbrunelle

+2,543

Actual

36,964

BPA

34,421

Tittsburgh Feelers

YaBoyApeezy

-2,164

Actual

45,822

BPA

47,986

Big Doinks Only

KrunkOnDubZ

-2,450

Actual

30,706

BPA

33,156

Team	Actual	BPA	Gap
Team Guido herggie68	39,568	34,006	+5,562
dshant44 dshant44	34,729	30,727	+4,002
Garage Doors Bobkryger	33,564	29,755	+3,809
Big Baller Boiz mrbrunelle	36,964	34,421	+2,543
Tittsburgh Feelers YaBoyApeezy	45,822	47,986	-2,164
Big Doinks Only KrunkOnDubZ	30,706	33,156	-2,450

Draft Behavior Drift

How actual behavior diverged from the expected tendency model in the current replay season.

herggie68

Tendency key herggie68

0.099

QB round: Expected 1 / Actual 1

Expected: QB 14.4% / RB 25.8% / WR 39.8% / TE 14.4% / DEF 5.5%

Actual: QB 15.8% / RB 21.1% / WR 42.1% / TE 15.8% / DEF 5.3%

KrunkOnDubZ

Tendency key KrunkOnDubZ

0.096

QB round: Expected 2 / Actual 3

Expected: QB 16.4% / RB 28.4% / WR 32.6% / TE 16.4% / DEF 6.1%

Actual: QB 18.8% / RB 25.0% / WR 31.3% / TE 18.8% / DEF 6.3%

Bobkryger

Tendency key Bobkryger

0.086

QB round: Expected 5 / Actual 5

Expected: QB 17.3% / RB 38.4% / WR 27.6% / TE 8.4% / DEF 8.4%

Actual: QB 20.0% / RB 40.0% / WR 26.7% / TE 6.7% / DEF 6.7%

dshant44

Tendency key dshant44

0.064

QB round: Expected 2 / Actual 1

Expected: QB 14.2% / RB 26.5% / WR 40.9% / TE 12.3% / DEF 6.1%

Actual: QB 12.5% / RB 25.0% / WR 43.8% / TE 12.5% / DEF 6.3%

BlooptyWoo

Tendency key BlooptyWoo

0.061

QB round: Expected 2 / Actual 1

Expected: QB 18.4% / RB 22.6% / WR 44.9% / TE 12.3% / DEF 2.0%

Actual: QB 18.8% / RB 25.0% / WR 43.8% / TE 12.5% / DEF 0.0%

MrMoneyBags14

Tendency key MrMoneyBags14

0.059

QB round: Expected 5 / Actual 5

Expected: QB 17.0% / RB 32.0% / WR 35.9% / TE 15.0% / DEF 0.0%

Actual: QB 16.7% / RB 33.3% / WR 33.3% / TE 16.7% / DEF 0.0%

Kentwa702

Tendency key Kentwa702

0.050

QB round: Expected 3 / Actual 3

Expected: QB 16.4% / RB 34.4% / WR 32.8% / TE 10.9% / DEF 5.5%

Actual: QB 15.8% / RB 36.8% / WR 31.6% / TE 10.5% / DEF 5.3%

Cueball09

Tendency key Cueball09

0.050

QB round: Expected 4 / Actual 4

Expected: QB 22.1% / RB 28.8% / WR 33.6% / TE 8.7% / DEF 6.7%

Actual: QB 21.4% / RB 28.6% / WR 35.7% / TE 7.1% / DEF 7.1%

Manager	Expected mix	Actual mix	QB round	Drift
herggie68 Tendency key herggie68	QB 14.4% / RB 25.8% / WR 39.8% / TE 14.4% / DEF 5.5%	QB 15.8% / RB 21.1% / WR 42.1% / TE 15.8% / DEF 5.3%	Expected 1 / Actual 1	0.099
KrunkOnDubZ Tendency key KrunkOnDubZ	QB 16.4% / RB 28.4% / WR 32.6% / TE 16.4% / DEF 6.1%	QB 18.8% / RB 25.0% / WR 31.3% / TE 18.8% / DEF 6.3%	Expected 2 / Actual 3	0.096
Bobkryger Tendency key Bobkryger	QB 17.3% / RB 38.4% / WR 27.6% / TE 8.4% / DEF 8.4%	QB 20.0% / RB 40.0% / WR 26.7% / TE 6.7% / DEF 6.7%	Expected 5 / Actual 5	0.086
dshant44 Tendency key dshant44	QB 14.2% / RB 26.5% / WR 40.9% / TE 12.3% / DEF 6.1%	QB 12.5% / RB 25.0% / WR 43.8% / TE 12.5% / DEF 6.3%	Expected 2 / Actual 1	0.064
BlooptyWoo Tendency key BlooptyWoo	QB 18.4% / RB 22.6% / WR 44.9% / TE 12.3% / DEF 2.0%	QB 18.8% / RB 25.0% / WR 43.8% / TE 12.5% / DEF 0.0%	Expected 2 / Actual 1	0.061
MrMoneyBags14 Tendency key MrMoneyBags14	QB 17.0% / RB 32.0% / WR 35.9% / TE 15.0% / DEF 0.0%	QB 16.7% / RB 33.3% / WR 33.3% / TE 16.7% / DEF 0.0%	Expected 5 / Actual 5	0.059
Kentwa702 Tendency key Kentwa702	QB 16.4% / RB 34.4% / WR 32.8% / TE 10.9% / DEF 5.5%	QB 15.8% / RB 36.8% / WR 31.6% / TE 10.5% / DEF 5.3%	Expected 3 / Actual 3	0.050
Cueball09 Tendency key Cueball09	QB 22.1% / RB 28.8% / WR 33.6% / TE 8.7% / DEF 6.7%	QB 21.4% / RB 28.6% / WR 35.7% / TE 7.1% / DEF 7.1%	Expected 4 / Actual 4	0.050

Prediction accuracy by round

Rounds 1-17 show where the current replay model was sharp and where the room got chaotic.

Round 1

24 picks

66.7%

Round 2

24 picks

66.7%

Round 3

24 picks

50.0%

Round 4

24 picks

37.5%

Round 5

24 picks

58.3%

Round 6

24 picks

50.0%

Round 7

24 picks

29.2%

Round 8

24 picks

50.0%

Round 9

24 picks

29.2%

Round 10

24 picks

29.2%

Round 11

24 picks

16.7%

Round 12

24 picks

25.0%

Round 13

24 picks

58.3%

Round 14

24 picks

20.8%

Round 15

24 picks

29.2%

Round 16

24 picks

50.0%

Round 17

24 picks

20.8%